Are U.S. Federal Reserve Notes Backed by Anything?

Are U.S. Federal Reserve Notes Backed by Anything?

When someone asks if anything backs the U.S. dollar anymore, the answer is usually: nothing but confidence in the United States economy and/or government.  And this evaluation is true…sort of.  After having conducted some in-depth financial research, I can confirm that this assessment isn’t technically correct (which, as everyone knows, is the best kind of correct).

It is a little known fact that Federal Reserve notes are legally backed by certain assets sitting on the balance sheets of the United State’s 12 Federal Reserve Banks.  I have pulled a pertinent explanation from the notes of the Federal Reserve’s 2017 audited financial statements:

Federal Reserve notes are the circulating currency of the United States.  These notes…must be fully collateralized.  All of the Reserve Banks’ assets are eligible to be pledged as collateral.

To satisfy the obligation to provide sufficient collateral for outstanding Federal Reserve notes, the Reserve Banks have entered into an agreement that provides for certain assets of the Reserve Banks to be jointly pledged as collateral for the Federal Reserve notes issued to all Reserve Banks. In the event that this collateral is insufficient, the Federal Reserve Act provides that Federal Reserve notes become a first and paramount lien on all the assets of the Reserve Banks.

At December 31, 2017 and 2016, all Federal Reserve notes outstanding, net, were fully collateralized.  At December 31, 2017, all gold certificates, all SDR certificates, and $1,554 billion of domestic securities held in the SOMA were pledged as collateral.  At December 31, 2017, no investments denominated in foreign currencies were pledged as collateral.

So surprisingly, the currency in your pocket is actually backed by something more than unicorns and fairy dust!

Now for the caveats.  This backing only applies to physically printed U.S. Federal Reserve notes.  It doesn’t include digital U.S. dollars, like those in your checking or savings account.  This is in spite of the fact that dollars in deposit accounts can generally be freely exchanged for Federal Reserve notes on demand.

It also excludes U.S. coinage, which is considered fiduciary money.  Incidentally, this is the same reason you can’t use a dump truck full of pennies to pay off your mortgage.

 

Federal Reserve Assets Pledged As Collateral Against Federal Reserve Notes

 

Book Value Market Value
Dec. 31, 2017 Exchange Dec. 31, 2017
in millions Rate in millions
Gold Certificates  $            11,037 @  $42.22/$1302.50  $         340,477
SDR Certificates  $             5,200 @  $                     1.42  $              7,405
Treasuries & MBS  $     1,554,000  $      1,554,000
Grand Total  $      1,570,237  $      1,901,882

 

The first collateral specifically mentioned in the Fed’s financial statements is gold certificates.  These are holdovers from the pre-1934 era, when the United States was still on the gold standard.  Originally, $20.67 was exchangeable for a single troy ounce of fine gold.  However, gold was gradually revalued during the 20th century until its official government price was frozen at $42.22 in 1973.

So the $11 odd billion in gold certificates on the Fed’s balance sheet actually represents a claim on approximately 261.4 million troy ounces, which is very nearly the entirety of the United State’s gold reserves.  At the December 31, 2017 spot price of $1,302.50, these gold certificates had a market value of over $340 billion.

The next asset used to collateralize Federal Reserve notes is SDR certificates, otherwise known as Special Drawing Rights.  SDRs are composed of a basket of national currencies that are important in global trade and finance.  Right now each SDR is composed of 0.58 U.S. dollars, 0.39 euros, 0.09 British pounds, 1.02 Chinese Yuan and 11.90 Japanese Yen.

The SDR currency basket is reweighted every 5 years to reflect changing economic positions, with the next reassessment scheduled for 2021.

The Federal Reserve Banks have pledged all 5.2 billion of their SDRs as collateral against outstanding Federal Reserve notes.  Each SDR had an exchange rate of $1.42 at December 31, 2017, giving this collateral a total value of $7.4 billion.

The final collateral backing Federal Reserve notes are domestic SOMA (System Open Market Account) securities.  SOMA securities consist primarily of U.S. Treasuries and government agency MBS (mortgage-backed securities) that the Fed has purchased on the open market.  As of Q4 2017, there were $2,546 billion of Treasuries on the Fed’s balance sheet and $1,818 billion of MBS.

Because the Federal Reserve Banks have only pledged $1,554 billion of these SOMA securities as collateral against Federal Reserve notes, it is anyone’s guess as to how much of the collateral is Treasuries versus MBS.

The Federal Reserve measures compliance with its collateralization requirements by using the book value of its pledged assets (excepting SOMA securities, which use par value).  Using market value instead results in a slight over-collateralization, mostly due to the Fed’s gold certificate holdings.  So at the end of 2017, the $1,571 billion of U.S. paper currency in circulation was actually backed by $1,902 billion in Federal Reserve assets.  This represents a 121% collateralization ratio.

Of course, all this talk of real assets backing our cash sounds great at first blush.  But there are still some serious drawbacks to the arrangement.

For one thing, U.S. currency is not officially redeemable for anything – not even the collateralizing assets!  In fact, it is difficult to conceive of a situation in which the Fed would be forced to redeem Federal Reserve notes using its pledged assets.

The next stumbling block is that gold certificates and SDRs represent the lion’s share of the central bank’s “hard” (i.e. non-dollar denominated) assets.  There is simply no way the Fed (or the U.S. Government for that matter) would allow these vital anchor assets to be paid out to currency holders.

In addition, the bulk of the collateralizing assets (81.7% by market value) are Treasury and MBS securities.  But if these were actually paid out to dollar holders, it would only entitle them to receive more currency in the future, which would presumably be Federal Reserve notes too!  The logic here is a bit circular, as you can tell.

As a final blow, the provision requiring all Federal Reserve notes to be collateralized does nothing to restrict additional future issuance.  All the Fed must do in order to legally issue more currency is purchase additional Treasury or mortgage-backed securities on the open market (with digital dollars created out of thin air) and then pledge these fresh assets as collateral against newly printed Federal Reserve notes.

So in the final analysis, the Federal Reserve assets backing U.S. paper currency is more of an accounting relic from a bygone era of responsible central banking, than a true safety net.  Because of this, I recommend that investors hedge some of their dollar exposure with tangible assets like precious metals, antiques and gemstones.  That way, if the worst should ever happen, you don’t have to hope that the Fed makes good on its (almost certainly) empty promises.

 

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Hand-crafted Sipo Mahogany Box

Hand-crafted Sipo Mahogany Box
Photo Credit: AustinFineWoodworks

Hand-crafted Sipo Mahogany Box

Asking Price: $89

Pros:

-This beautifully hand-crafted African Sipo Mahogany box would be perfect for storing your jewelry, keepsakes, or other precious items.  It is lined with a high quality microfiber Ultrasuede fabric and finished with multiple coats of hand-rubbed tung oil.

-This Sipo Mahogany box measures 7.75 inches (19.7 cm) long by 3 inches (7.6 cm) wide by 2 inches (5.1 cm) deep.

-Sipo Mahogany (scientific name: Entandrophragma utile; but also known as Sipo or Utile in the woodworking trade) is an exotic tropical hardwood from Western and Central Africa.  Along with African Mahogany and Sapele, Utile is one of the three African woods most often used as a true Mahogany substitute.

-This exotic hardwood box was made by AustinFineWoodworks, a small woodworking firm based in Austin, Texas.  While there isn’t very much information on the internet about this company, we do know that it is run by Paul Jordan and has received stellar Etsy reviews.

-This Sipo Mahogany box has corner splines made from Wenge and Sugar Maple to provide both strength and visual contrast.

– Sipo Mahogany’s attractive grain and rich reddish-brown color closely mimics the appearance of true Honduran Mahogany, especially when quarter-sawn (like on the sides of the box in the photo above).  Because of this, many experienced woodworkers believe that Utile is the finest Mahogany alternative on the market today.  Simply put, Sipo Mahogany combines the best elements of all the African-origin, mahogany-like woods.

-As a tangible asset aficionado, I believe it is imperative to use premium storage for your valuable hard assets.  Coins, jewelry, bullion or any of a number of other compact treasures would comfortably fit in this handsome Sipo Mahogany box.

-There is something truly special about exotic hardwoods!  And at a price of only $89, I believe this fine Sipo Mahogany box is well worth owning.

 

AustinFineWoodworks Exotic Wood Boxes for Sale on Etsy

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Cons:

-This Utile wood box is relatively modest in size, measuring less than 8 inches on its longest axis.  Of course, AustinFineWoodworks has larger exotic wood boxes available if you want something slightly bigger.

-Although it is superbly constructed, this box is a new creation.  And while it could very well be a desirable future antique, we will not know that for certain for another few decades.  On the whole, I find this to be a very minor drawback.

 

 

 

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World War II and the Bankruptcy of the British Empire

World War II and the Bankruptcy of the British Empire
Photo Credit (CC 2.0 license): Smabs Sputzer

World War II is one of most interesting periods in financial history, particularly because the sweeping conflict caused the bankruptcy of the British Empire to unfold with stunning speed.  It took barely more than 10 years for the British pound sterling to go from a respected global reserve currency to a second-class credit.

Between the World Wars, from 1919 to 1938, the British Empire ostensibly reached the zenith of its power.  It achieved its greatest geographical extent in the early 1920s, when it controlled almost 1/4 of the world’s surface area and nearly the same proportion of the earth’s population.  Unfortunately for the British, this façade of colonial dominance was largely an illusion.

But it was a very powerful illusion all the same.  Throughout the 1930s, Great Britain was viewed as one of an elite group of superpower nations that included France and the United States, as well as upstarts Germany and Japan.

And Britain’s currency, the pound sterling, supported this mainstream narrative.  Until 1931, the pound had been the world’s reserve currency, with each pound equal to a British gold sovereign containing 0.2354 troy ounces (7.32 grams) of pure gold.  Even after the Great Depression forced Great Britain off the gold standard, the pound still traded for around $5 on the FX markets during the mid to late 1930s.  This was actually a slightly stronger rate than when both the U.S. and the U.K. had been on the classical gold standard before the early 1930s.

But the outbreak of World War II shattered this fantasy and quickly ushered in the bankruptcy of the British Empire.  The first inkling of the disaster to come occurred when the pound plummeted from $4.61 to $3.99 in the harrowing month of September 1939, after it became apparent that Nazi Germany wasn’t backing down in its quest for European hegemony.

 

Pre-1931 British Gold Sovereigns for Sale on eBay

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Because the United Kingdom was ill-prepared for the outbreak of hostilities, it naturally sought to procure additional supplies and materials from abroad – most notably from the United States.  But the U.S. was keen to preserve its neutrality in the European conflict.

As a result, the U.S. government adopted a “cash and carry” approach to selling goods in November of 1939.  This allowed any combatant nation to purchase materials from the United States, provided they pay in hard money (gold, U.S. dollars or U.S. securities) and find a way to transport the material themselves.

Great Britain found itself in an excellent position to take advantage of the United State’s cash and carry policy.  The British Empire was primarily a maritime power and still maintained a tenuous control over the all-important North Atlantic shipping lanes, despite attempts by Nazi U-boats to disrupt those routes.  So the U.K. transported massive amounts of gold bullion, U.S. dollars and U.S. securities to the United States in exchange for desperately needed supplies.

But as Hitler’s Wehrmacht steamrolled through Continental Europe, Britain’s prospects dimmed considerably.  The surrender of France in June 1940 was a particularly devastating blow to the U.K.’s war effort.  In the summer of 1940, as the Battle of Britain raged over English air space, Winston Churchill and his cabinet began to come to the realization that the bankruptcy of the British Empire was quickly approaching if drastic action wasn’t taken.

First Britain resorted to some creative financing.  The U.S. had previously expressed interest in leasing airfields in certain British possessions for military purposes.  Although Churchill had initially rebuffed the proposal, the exigencies of total war soon forced him to reconsider.

On September 2, 1940, the U.S. and Great Britain formalized their Destroyers for Bases Agreement.  In exchange for 50 obsolete U.S. Navy destroyers, Britain agreed to give the U.S. 99-year, rent-free leases on naval and air bases in various locations in Newfoundland and some Caribbean islands.

Around the same time, Churchill approved a vitally important secret mission that is commonly known as the Tizard Mission today.  Named after its leader, British scientist Henry Tizard, it was the wholesale transfer of cutting-edge British technologies to the United States in September 1940.  This was done in the hope that the U.S. could perfect and mass produce these inventions in time to have a significant impact on the outcome of the war.

These top-secret technologies included microwave radar via the cavity magnetron, the proximity fuse, schematics for a prototype jet engine and the Frisch-Peierls memorandum on the viability of a nuclear bomb, among others.

The technology passed to the Americans during the Tizard Mission was theoretically a gift, with no explicit, reciprocal payment demanded.  However, it is reasonable to assume that Churchill secretly hoped such a generous gesture would obligate the Americans to continue supplying the British war effort, even if the teetering Empire was not able to meet the strict guidelines of the United State’s cash and carry philosophy.

 

World War II Era British Currency for Sale on eBay

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By late 1940, the British Empire’s bankruptcy was imminent.  On December 8, 1940, Prime Minister Churchill wrote a letter to this effect to President Roosevelt.  In it Churchill stated:

 

The more rapid and abundant the flow of munitions and ships which you are able to send us, the sooner will our dollar credits be exhausted.  They are already, as you know, very heavily drawn upon by the payments we have made to date.  Indeed, as you know the orders already placed or under negotiation…many times exceed the total exchange resources remaining at the disposal of Great Britain.  The moment approaches when we shall no longer be able to pay cash for shipping and other supplies.

 

Consequently, President Roosevelt pushed the U.S. Congress for the passage of the Lend-Lease Act.  This legislation would drop the pretense of American neutrality by authorizing the shipment of weapons, ammunition and other war materials to the Allied countries (primarily Britain, Free France and China) in exchange for the leasing of military bases in Allied territory during the war.  No money would change hands; instead this would effectively be a U.S. donation to the Allied cause.

But as a prerequisite for the passage of the Lend-Lease Act, the United States demanded that Great Britain open its books, thus revealing the intimate details of its financial insolvency to the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, Henry Morgenthau.

In addition, the Roosevelt administration insisted that an important British-owned, U.S.-domiciled company be sold in order to confirm that they had definitively run out of liquid U.S. dollar assets.  The British duly complied, announcing the March 1941 fire-sale of the American Viscose Corporation – a manufacturer of synthetic textiles and the largest U.K. holding left in the U.S.  The company only realized a fraction of its appraised value.

The Lend Lease Act was finally passed on March 11, 1941.  U.S. weapons and supplies soon flowed into the bereft British Empire in massive quantities.

To compound difficulties for the British, it soon became apparent that the crown jewel of their empire, India, would not remain under British rule for long once the war was over.  This political development made it impossible for the British to attempt to partially recover the cost of the war from India.  And to make the British Empire’s grave financial situation even worse, it was clear that many of its other colonies would also demand their independence once the war concluded.

When World War II finally ended, the pound-dollar exchange rate was $4.03, the level it had been pegged at by the Bank of England at the beginning of the conflict in 1939.  But the British Empire’s fiscal situation had deteriorated massively during the intervening years, leaving its currency extremely overvalued.

 

World War II Era British Silver Coins for Sale on eBay

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As part of its war-time negotiations with the United States, Great Britain had agreed to open up its consumer markets to U.S.-made goods after the war.  This severely undercut post-war profits for British businesses.  In addition, by 1945 the British economy had completely converted to a war-footing and was slow to retool to meet domestic consumer demand.

Like all warring nations, Great Britain had borrowed heavily to help fund its war effort.  In 1945, Britain’s aggregate debt (much of it held by foreign interests) was a staggering £21 billion, which was equivalent to over 75,000 metric tons of gold at then current exchange rates.  This was more than 2.5 times the combined national gold reserves of every country on earth at the time!

In other words, it was a sum that could never be paid back without resorting to currency devaluation.

Britain’s initial emergency move was to remove all silver from her circulating coinage.  From 1920 until 1946, every British denomination from the tiny 3-pence to the massive crown (5-shilling coin) had been struck from 50% fine silver.   Starting in 1947, the British Royal Mint changed over to a base-metal, cupro-nickel alloy, allowing the government to save money on coinage costs.  In addition, the British Royal Mint could “mine” the existing circulating coinage for its silver content, gradually replacing it with less expensive base-metal coins.

But the coup de grace came on September 19, 1949 when the British Chancellor of the Exchequer, Stafford Cripps, was finally forced to devalue the once prestigious pound sterling from $4.03 to $2.80 – an overnight 30% loss of purchasing power.  With this stunning act, the British pound definitively lost its global reserve currency status.  The bankruptcy of the British Empire was complete.

 

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English Regency Sterling Silver Sugar Bowl

English Regency Sterling Silver Sugar Bowl
Photo Credit: robertcharlessilver

English Regency Sterling Silver Sugar Bowl

Buy It Now Price: $400 (price as of 2018; item no longer available)

Pros:

-This charming English Regency sterling silver sugar bowl from 1819 features a gilt interior and twin handles decorated with acanthus leaves, shells and flowers.

-It measures 4.25 inches (10.8 cm) tall by 9 inches (22.9 cm) long by 4 inches (10.2 cm) wide and weighs a generous 358.8 grams (11.54 troy ounces).

-This piece was made during the late Georgian era in a time known as the Regency.  The British Regency is generally regarded as encompassing the period from 1795 to 1837.  This is in spite of the fact that the formal Regency only ran from 1811 to 1820, when King George III’s son ruled in the elderly king’s place after he had been declared mentally incompetent.

-This Regency sterling silver sugar bowl has all the period correct hallmarks for an early 19th century English silver item.  These include the lion passant (indicating sterling silver purity), the crowned leopard’s head (establishing that the item was created in London), the head of King George III (verifying that the duty tax of 6 pence per troy ounce had been paid) and the “d” letter date stamp (recording the year of manufacture – 1819).  It also has a maker’s mark, but this is worn to the point of being indecipherable.

-The Regency era was renowned for its cultural achievements.  It was during this period that Jane Austin’s timeless romance novel Pride and Prejudice was published (1813), as well as Mary Shelley’s horror masterpiece Frankenstein (1818).  The British Regency was also noted for its ostentatious high society, with the wealthy aristocracy constantly attending lavish balls, operas and fêtes.

-I must admit that I am a sucker for a having a nice piece of antique sterling silver at the breakfast table.  There is nothing quite like spooning sugar into your morning cereal from a 200 year old Regency sterling silver sugar bowl!

-With a net silver content of 10.67 troy ounces, this Regency sterling silver sugar bowl is quite robustly constructed.  The piece has a melt value of $156 with spot at $14.69 an ounce, resulting in a premium of only 156%.  Such a low premium is practically criminal for such a beautiful and functional antique piece.

-Classic 18th and early 19th century antique silver has suffered a brutal bear market over the past decade.  That leaves this piece and others like it substantially undervalued today – perfect timing for a savvy antique investor to swoop in and take advantage of the situation.

-I find the $400 asking price to be exceedingly fair considering the excellent condition and tremendous aesthetic qualities of this antique Georgian silver.

 

Cons:

-This Regency sterling silver sugar bowl is in absolutely perfect condition – except for a small dent to one side near the handle.  Given the age of the piece, I find this minor flaw to be acceptable.

-In an ideal world, the maker’s mark wouldn’t have been worn smooth, allowing us to determine who made it.  Alas, not all wishes are granted.

 

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