1937 British Proof Set for King George VI’s Coronation

1937 British Proof Set for King George VI's Coronation
Photo Credit: EnglishCoinCompany

1937 British Proof Set for King George VI’s Coronation

Asking Price: $616 (price as of 2018; item no longer available)

Pros:

-The United Kingdom issued this magnificent 15-coin 1937 British proof set to commemorate the coronation of King George VI.

-This King George VI coronation proof set consists of 15 different coins.  Seven coins are regular circulation silver pieces: a crown (5 shillings), 1/2 crown (2 1/2 shillings), florin (2 shillings), 2 different designs of shillings, a sixpence and a threepence.  Four coins are silver Maundy issues: a groat (4 pence), threepence, twopence and a silver penny.  The remaining four coins are base metal: a brass threepence, bronze penny, half-penny and farthing (1/4 penny).

-This lovely proof set comes with its original silk-lined, red box!  Early 20th century British proof sets have some of the best original packaging of any proof sets.  They are absolutely classic – just what you would expect from an august institution like the Royal Mint.

– Before decimalization, 1 pound equaled 20 shillings, while 1 shilling equaled 12 pence.  This made each pound worth 240 pence.  Thankfully, this unwieldy medieval currency system was finally phased out with the arrival of decimalization in 1971.

-This 1937 British proof set is a pre-World War II issue originating from a time when the British Empire was still intact.  It is a universal rule that coinage from an empire near its apogee is more desirable than coins minted during its decline.

-The face value of this 1937 British proof set totals 13 shillings and 5 3/4 pence.  This would have been equivalent to around $3.37 at prevailing 1937 exchange rates, or just under 1/10th of an ounce of gold.

-This classic British proof set includes Maundy money.  Maundy money is special coinage handed out by the monarch every year on Royal Maundy, the Thursday before Good Friday.  This uniquely British tradition has persisted since King Charles II first handed out these small silver coins in 1662.

-For much of the 20th century, Great Britain only issued proof sets for special occasions.  These included the coronation years of 1902 (King Edward VII), 1911 (King George V), 1937 (King George VI) and 1953 (Queen Elizabeth II).  Sets were also issued in 1927 (in honor of a coinage redesign), 1950 (to celebrate the end of WWII austerity) and 1951 (for the Festival of Britain).  The British Royal Mint didn’t begin striking proof sets every year until 1970.

-This vintage British proof set contains an impressive number of silver coins – 11 in total.  Like circulating British coinage of the time, all of these specimens were struck in 50% silver.  Until 1920, all British silver coins had been struck to the higher sterling standard.  But the incredible expense of World War I prompted the British government to adopt cost savings measures, including a lower standard for their silver coinage.  After World War II nearly bankrupted the U.K., all silver was removed from the country’s coinage in 1947.

-This 1937 British proof set has a mintage of only 26,402 sets.  This is relatively low, especially compared to 1950s and 1960s U.S. proof sets, which were generally issued in the hundreds of thousands or millions.

-Given the excellent condition of this vintage proof set and the fact that it is one of the few pre-modern British sets available, I find the $616 asking price to be fair.

 

Cons:

-In my opinion, the 1902 and 1911 British proof sets from the height of empire are much more desirable.  However, they are also significantly more expensive.  The 1927, 1937, 1950, 1951 and 1953 proof sets offer much more accessible price points for the aspiring coin collector or investor.

-This 1937 British proof set doesn’t include any gold coins.  Instead, there was a separately issued 4-coin gold proof set, which is highly desirable today.  Unfortunately, it is also extremely expensive (£9,500 at auction in 2018), with prices having risen considerably over the past 10 to 15 years.

-You can sometimes find these 1937 proof sets for less money, but they often contain coins that have been rubbed, scratched or otherwise compromised.  These are known in the field of numismatics as impaired proofs and should generally be avoided.

 

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U.S. Dollar Debasement – A Unique Historical Timeline

U.S. Dollar Debasement - A Unique Historical Timeline

Before Dollar Debasement: The Classical Gold Standard

Before the Great Depression, the United States operated under a gold standard.  This meant that most U.S. currency could be freely exchanged at banks or the U.S. Treasury for gold coins.  This was done at the rate of $20.67 for one troy ounce of gold.  In other words, a $20 gold certificate could be redeemed for a double-eagle gold coin which contained almost a full troy ounce of pure gold.

This conversion mechanism constrained growth in the money supply, meaning that there was effectively no inflation for as long as the system remained in place.  In addition, silver certificates that were directly redeemable for silver dollars also circulated in the economy, providing additional protection against U.S. dollar debasement.

The classical gold standard provided unprecedented financial stability and economic growth – not only in the United States, but also in other countries that had adopted it, including Great Britain, France, Germany and Japan.  It was only with the arrival of World War I that the international gold standard began to weaken.

 

  • Early 1900s – The U.S. economy is dominated by a variety of high quality currency instruments. Gold certificates, silver certificates, United States Notes and Federal Reserve Notes (after 1914) all circulate side-by-side, along with gold and silver coins.
  • 1913 – The Federal Reserve is founded as a “banker’s bank” with the stated purpose of preventing financial panics. The new institution’s policies will profoundly impact the trajectory of dollar debasement in the decades to come.
  • 1914 to 1918 – World War I forces most belligerent nations to abandon the gold standard. The United States is a notable exception to this trend, which cements the country’s position as an international economic power.
  • 1920s – A decade of economic expansion is driven by strong fundamentals and the newly formed Federal Reserve’s outrageous “coup de whiskey” monetary policy. This has grave consequences because it foments a massive Wall Street stock market bubble that surreptitiously undermines the economy.
  • 1929 – The Great Wall Street Crash in October signals the start of the Great Depression.
  • 1931The collapse of Credit-Anstalt, a major Austrian bank, ushers in the most virulent phase of the Great Depression.
  • 1931 – Great Britain is forced off the gold standard in September of this year, greatly increasing monetary pressure on all countries that still maintain gold convertibility, including the United States.
  • 1933 – Franklin Delano Roosevelt assumes the Presidency and immediately calls a banking holiday. He simultaneously suspends the gold convertibility of the U.S. dollar.  A short time later, on April 5, FDR effectively nationalizes the country’s gold, declaring that all privately-held gold coins and gold certificates must be exchanged for non-gold currency.
  • 1934 – FDR increases the price of gold from $20.67 to $35 per troy ounce. This effectively devalues the U.S. dollar by 41%.  The classical gold standard in the United States is officially dead and the modern era of dollar debasement begins.
  • 1934 – The U.S. Treasury commissions a final series of gold certificates. These are not intended for public circulation, but are instead used for bank reserves and inter-bank transfers.
  • 1935 – FDR passes a law allowing the U.S. Treasury to issue small-denomination, government-backed bonds, otherwise known as savings bonds, directly to the public. Savings bonds allow U.S. citizens to invest in a safe Treasury instrument with a competitive interest rate.

 

Dollar Debasement Begins: The Bretton Woods System

In the wake of the widespread devastation wrought by the Great Depression and World War II, a new international monetary framework was desperately needed.  As a result, in July 1944, 44 representatives of the allied nations, including Great Britain, the United States, France and the Soviet Union, gathered at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire to hammer out a new monetary system.

It was finally decided that the U.S. dollar would be convertible into gold at the rate of $35 for each troy ounce.  But only foreign governments and central banks would be allowed to exercise this conversion feature, not individuals.  In addition, all other countries would tie the value of their currencies to the dollar.

Although silver certificates and silver coins freely circulated in America during this period, gold bullion was illegal for U.S. citizens to own.  Each $1 silver certificate was exchangeable into a silver dollar containing 0.77344 troy ounces of pure silver.  United States Notes and Federal Reserve Notes also circulated and could be exchanged for fiduciary silver coinage (90% silver dimes, quarters and half dollars) which contained 0.7234 troy ounces of silver per $1 face value.

 

  • 1944The Bretton Woods system is formalized. This monetary structure is quickly adopted by most nations that are not part of the Soviet Communist Bloc.
  • 1950s – A period of international prosperity exists, with the United States acting as both the world’s monetary hub and primary export destination. However, the United State’s huge silver and gold reserves are gradually drawn down to pay for this flood of foreign imports.
  • Early 1960s – The rising price of silver in the international market makes it clear that the U.S. government will soon have difficulty redeeming silver certificates at their traditional rate.
  • 1964 – The U.S. government suspends the Treasury’s obligation to redeem silver certificates for silver dollars, but still allows redemption for raw silver granules or bullion bars for a limited time.
  • 1964 – U.S. citizens are allowed to legally own gold certificates again. While they regain their legal tender status, they are no longer redeemable for gold.
  • 1966 – The U.S. Mint strikes its last 90% silver coins meant for circulation (which are dated 1964 due to a date freeze). The only circulating U.S. coins with any precious metal remaining are 40% silver Kennedy half dollars.  Most U.S. coinage is now copper-nickel slugs.
  • 1968 – The U.S. Treasury discontinues redeeming silver certificates in their entirety, although the notes still remain legal tender.
  • 1969 – The U.S. Treasury withdraws high denomination currency from circulation due to fears that it facilitates organized crime. But honest citizens who crave financial discretion and safety are most impacted.  This policy applies to the $500, $1,000, $5,000 and $10,000 bills.  These large denomination notes are not, however, demonetized.
  • 1970 – The 40% silver Kennedy half dollar is discontinued and replaced with a copper-nickel base metal version. There are now no coins produced by the U.S. Mint for general circulation that contain any silver.
  • 1971 – In August, President Richard Nixon stops redeeming U.S. dollars presented by foreign governments and central banks for gold. This ends the last formal link that the U.S. dollar has to precious metals, marking a new era in dollar debasement.  All currencies in the world are now fiat currencies with floating exchange rates.
  • Early 1970s – By this time, nearly all 90% U.S. silver coinage (especially dimes and quarters) have been pulled from circulation due to Gresham’s Law.
  • 1973 – An international oil crisis is precipitated when Arab nations refuse to exchange their oil for now depreciated U.S. dollars at the traditional rate.
  • 1975 – After more than 40 years of being illegal, gold ownership for U.S. citizens is re-legalized.

 

Dollar Debasement Accelerates: The Bretton Woods II System

After the monetary chaos of the 1970s, which was characterized by persistently high inflation and frequent recessions, a monetary reform was necessary.  The U.S. Federal Reserve raised short-term interest rates to a dizzying 20% in 1980 in order to break the economy’s deleterious inflationary cycle.  Once confidence in the dollar had been reestablished, a reconstituted global monetary system emerged.

Unlike the original Bretton Woods System, the Bretton Woods II System was entirely informal.  While the U.S. dollar remained at the center of the global monetary system as the world’s reserve currency, it was no longer exchangeable for gold or silver at a fixed rate.  Instead, all currencies floated freely against each other.

The United States also remained the world’s primary destination for exported goods, gradually leading to a slow deindustrialization of the country.

 

  • 1980 – A bubble in precious metals – gold, silver and platinum – finally bursts after the Federal Reserve raises short-term interest rates to unbelievably high levels.
  • 1982The U.S. Government bans the issuance of new bearer bonds. This is a blow to financial anonymity because these corporate promissory notes are similar to cash; whoever holds them receives their interest and principal payments.  However, existing bearer bonds are allowed to mature naturally.  Because the maximum term of a bond is typically no more than 30 years, the last of these bearer bonds mature by 2012.
  • 1980s – A period of relative economic prosperity develops as the Federal Reserve’s relatively cautious interest rate policies discourage widespread speculation.
  • 1986 – The U.S. Mint begins striking American Gold and Silver Eagle bullion coins, giving small investors a good way to accumulate precious metals with confidence.
  • Late 1990s – The advent of the original technology bubble ushers in an era of destabilizing, serial boom-bust financial markets. This development is encouraged by a profligate Federal Reserve that reliably “bails-out” bubble speculators.
  • Mid 2000s – The Federal Reserve holds short-term interest rates too low for too long, giving rise to the Housing Bubble.
  • Mid 2000s – Due to the rising price of precious metals, the last remnants of pre-1970 silver coinage finally disappear from circulation. Looking through rolls of coins from your local bank in hopes finding the odd silver Kennedy half dollar or silver war nickel is now a lost cause.
  • 2008 – The Great Financial Crisis strikes when the Housing Bubble bursts. The Federal Reserve lowers interest rates to almost zero, causing significant dollar debasement.  The Fed, in effect, subjects the American people to intense financial repression in order to recapitalize the irresponsible banking system.
  • Late 2000s – The U.S. Treasury systematically lowers the interest rates it pays on savings bonds, making them far less attractive investments to small savers than they used to be.
  • 2009 – New York City’s centralized clearinghouse for stock settlements adds a $500 fee to the cost of issuing new paper stock certificates, effectively ending their creation. However, existing paper stocks certificates are allowed to remain outstanding.
  • 2012 – The U.S. Government states that it will no longer issue physical savings bonds certificates. From now on all U.S. savings bonds are digital only, with only one minor exception.  This is the death knell of the U.S. savings bond program.
  • 2013 – The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) proposes the elimination of all physical stock certificates. This would make it impossible to hold stocks anywhere except for a brokerage account or DRIP plan.
  • 2010s – The Federal Reserve again suppresses short-term interest rates, inflating a grotesque, hybrid Real Estate/Stock Market/Bond Market/Crypto-Currency Bubble. When it finally bursts, the economic fallout will be catastrophic.
  • 2016 – Several stories run in the media in favor of discontinuing the $100 bill – ostensibly because of their alleged use in criminal transactions. This is in spite of the fact that a $100 bill in 2016 only has the same purchasing power as a $10 bill in 1950.

 

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Vintage Pelikan 400NN Fountain Pen & Mechanical Pencil Set

Vintage Pelikan 400NN Fountain Pen & Mechanical Pencil Set
Photo Credit: THE-ANTIQUE-SHOP-OF-RUMEN

Vintage Pelikan 400NN Fountain Pen & Mechanical Pencil Set

Buy It Now Price: $299 (price as of 2018; item no longer available)

Pros:

-This vintage Pelikan 400NN fountain pen and mechanical pencil set from the late 1950s or early 1960s has striking brown tortoise-striped barrels contrasting with gold-plated trim.

-The Pelikan 400NN fountain pen measures 5.12 inches (13.0 cm) in length.  Although I do not have the exact measurement for the matching mechanical pencil, we can see from the photo that it is slightly longer than the pen.

-Pelikan was founded in Hanover, Germany in 1832 as a supplier of paints and inks.  However, it was not until the late 1920s that the company began producing fountain pens.  Pelikan’s golden age came in the post-WWII era of the 1950s and 1960s when it produced many memorable, high quality pens.  Pelikan remains a respected pen manufacturer to this day.

Vintage fountain pen sets are generally undervalued in today’s marketplace.  This allows the knowledgeable writing enthusiast or antiques investor to pick up some truly special pen sets at bargain prices.

-The Pelikan 400 series fountain pen was first produced in 1950 and eventually discontinued in 1956.  A revised version, the Pelikan 400N (the “N” stood for new) was briefly made in 1956.  The type featured here, the Pelikan 400NN, was manufactured from 1956 to 1965.

-This Pelikan 400NN fountain pen comes with its original 14 karat gold EF nib.  Many vintage pen aficionados consider Mid-Century Pelikans to be among the best pen-nib combinations ever made.

-According to the seller, this vintage Pelikan 400NN fountain pen and mechanical pencil set is in working order.  In addition, it appears be in excellent condition, with no visible brassing, cracking or discoloration.

-The 400 series is the iconic vintage Pelikan fountain pen from the historical apogee of the company.  According to specialist collectors’ website The Pelikan’s Perch, the Pelikan 400NN fountain pen (and its derivatives) are the “number one” vintage Pelikan pen for writing devotees.  In their own words, “If you can only have one vintage Pelikan pen, this is probably the one to get.”

-Although the Pelikan brand often sits in the shadows of more recognized luxury pen makers, like Montblanc and Waterman, it really deserves to be acknowledged as a full peer with these venerated competitors.  Because of this, I believe the $300 asking price for this beautiful fountain pen and mechanical pencil set is well justified.

 

Cons:

-While generally very robust pens, buyers of the Pelikan 400 series have to watch out for cracked barrels and collars.  This is due to a minor design flaw (a shrinking plastic cap over a static metal liner) and material limitations (a brittle, polystyrene collar).  Luckily, this particular Pelikan 400NN pen and pencil set shows no evidence of these issues.

-Although this vintage pen set is in a Pelikan case, I am dubious that it is original.  If the set was still housed in its original case, its value would be slightly higher.

 

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The Wealth Building Paradox

The Wealth Building Paradox

Photo Credit (CC 2.0 license): Eric Golub

A lot of investors approach wealth building as if it were a vending machine.  They expect to regularly invest a certain amount of money each month and then sit back and watch it grow at around 10% a year.

After all, this is how investing works, right?  You put your money into the investment vending machine and come back in 30 or 40 years to find that it has spewed out millions and millions of dollars for your retirement.

Unfortunately, this is a diabolical lie.  Wealth building is nothing like a vending machine at all.  The universe is simply under no obligation to give you a 10% return on your money in perpetuity.  Real wealth building just doesn’t work that way.

Let me tell you a story that encapsulates this misguided vending machine analogy perfectly.  I recently stumbled across a post by the financial blogger Joshua Kennon titled “Diamonds Are A Perfect Example of the Inability to Calculate Financial Intrinsic Value“.

In the post Joshua relates how he had visited Borsheims – a Berkshire Hathaway owned jewelry store.  I’ll allow him to tell you the rest of his story below:

…there was a wedding band that caught my eye.  It was phenomenal.  It featured 5.34 carats of diamonds in a platinum eternity setting, with the diamonds rated in the exceptional white colorless range (F on the GIA scale) and a VVS in clarity.

I ran the compounding math in my head.  Ten or twelve times.  If I were to buy two identical copies, even at the Berkshire Hathaway discount price (which the sales associate was kind enough to ballpark for me and is substantial – at minimum 30% off retail, probably more) at an average rate of compounding, by the time I was Warren Buffett’s age, it would cost me $5 to $10 million in foregone wealth.  That is my opportunity cost.

So I went ahead and ran the numbers on this guy’s “opportunity cost”.  He states that one of these eternity rings would cost $27,000 at retail.  At the 30% discount he references, two rings would cost $37,500.  The “about” section of his website says that he is 35.  Therefore I estimated that the difference between his age and Warren Buffet’s is around 50 years.

By dumping all of this information into a spreadsheet and working a little finance magic I can infer that Joshua thinks he will garner an average return on his portfolio of 10.26% to 11.80% annually over the next half a century.

That belief is, in my humble opinion, utterly insane.

It completely ignores financial history, where wealth building via compound interest has regularly been wiped out by global wars, ugly debt defaults, bloody revolutions, horrific stock market crashes and messy nationalizations.

Like it or not, the diamond eternity band that caught Joshua’s eye will undoubtedly still be around (and worth a substantial amount of money) in a couple centuries.  In contrast, it takes a certain naivety to trust that Berkshire Hathaway (or most of today’s other major corporations) will still exist in the year 2200.

Now I want to make it clear that I don’t think buying diamond eternity bands from Borsheims (or any other jeweler for that matter) is a good investment.  White diamonds are my least favorite gemstone from an investment perspective (with the notable exception of old cut diamonds).  Anyone looking for the real sleeper hit of the gemstone world should bypass white diamonds entirely and check out spinels instead.

In addition, paying a jeweler’s retail price (even a “discounted” retail price) is almost always a poor move.  The fact is that most new jewelry instantly depreciates by 75% to 90% the moment you walk out of the store with it.  This is why anyone interesting in using jewelry as an investment vehicle should 1) do a lot of research before they buy and 2) always buy antique, vintage or estate jewelry on the secondary market.

But I digress.

Compound interest can work wonders for your portfolio, but there is a paradox buried in this conventional wealth building strategy.  If you happen to invest in a time of peace and prosperity, you can be rewarded with seemingly ever increasing paper asset prices.  This situation can endure for many decades at a time – so long, in fact, that it is easy to become complacent (and start implicitly believing in the investment vending machine theory).

But the good times inevitably lead to an over-issuance of paper assets like stocks and bonds.  The physical economy simply doesn’t grow fast enough to support all the new paper claims against it.  The only solution is ultimately default – either through inflation or bankruptcy.  In both of these circumstances, holders of paper assets suffer terribly while investors in hard assets – antiques, precious metals and, yes, gemstones – benefit tremendously.

The last time the developed world experienced a synchronized restructuring of financial assets was the 1930s and 1940s.  During this time, massive numbers of bonds, stocks and even currencies became effectively worthless, leaving many ill-prepared investors destitute.

But that was a long time ago – over 70 years now.  As a result, today’s investors have forgotten the paradox of wealth building: compound interest is so powerful that no economy can sustain it forever.

Unfortunately, we seem to be right on the cusp of financial history at the moment.  It is apparent that our bloated financial system won’t be able to stagger along much longer under the weight of its excessive paper asset obligations.  The smart money knows that tangible assets are the right wealth building strategy for the coming financial implosion, and now you know it too.

 

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